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Steve Mayo

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Joined: 10/11/2012
Location: Austin, TX

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Subject : What's your favorite risk-return measure?
Posted : 4/10/2014 6:10 PM
Post #29721

As discussed in the OV-Pro seminar today, Mark Holstius and I (Steve Mayo) are working with Ed to map-out the design for a portfolio switcher. Part of that specification is what "evaluation functions" should we target. Here's the list we are currently considering:
CAR
MDD
mCalmar = CAR/MDD, over the test period (not a fixed 3-years as normally done)
mSortino = CAR/downside volatility, sans the adjustment for risk-free treasury rate
mSharpe = avg period return / stdev of period returns, sans the adjustment for risk-free treasury rate
Beta = COVAR(Port CAR, Market CAR)/VAR(Market CAR)
mAlpha = Port CAR - (Market CAR * Port Beta), sans the adjustment for risk-free treasury rate
Information Ratio = (Port CAR - Market CAR)/STDev of that Excess Return
Expectation of Loss= %Losses (1- hit rate) * average of the period (monthly/weekly) losses
Expectation of Gain = %Wins (hit rate) * average of the period gains
Volatility-adjusted return{ = avg. period return / stdev of avg period return
Risk-adjusted return = avg. period return /% losses * avg period loss

[Edited by Steve Mayo on 4/10/2014 6:15 PM]

Deleting message 29721 : What's your favorite risk-return measure?


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