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Pete Taylor

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25
Posts: 28

Joined: 10/11/2012
Location: N Bradley, England

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Subject : RE: Ideas for Portfolio Wiz/Bal Iterative Process
Posted : 4/13/2014 10:54 PM
Post #29773 - In reply to #29770

I don't pretend to understand some of the above detail, but from where I'm standing surely the easiest way of changing the need to vary the "time slices" would be to include in the calculations a link to the VIX or similar Volatility indicator. I keep a weekly chart (using weekly bars) of the ^VIX & feel this would alert us to early changes in market type.

If you look at the VIX on weekly bars - file attached, I would suggest that as increases say above 20 would trigger the need for "weekly slices". This to me would suggest potential changes in the market state, now happening.

In bear markets these are generally very volatile periods, whereas bull markets can also be volatile towards the end of the cycle, but they are normally quiet periods, where prices steadily rise but volatility is low.

A link to this would surely by definition alert us to areas in the market where we would need to look at things more often, as they are changing more quickly.

[Edited by Pete Taylor on 4/14/2014 4:57 AM]

Attached file : VIX weekly.PNG (270KB - 328 downloads)

Deleting message 29773 : RE: Ideas for Portfolio Wiz/Bal Iterative Process


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