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KenJ
 New User
Posts: 1
Joined: 9/18/2018
Location: Toronto
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I purchased my membership in OMG to share in the new research and developments in options trading software. Here is my suggestion, for what its worth, for new versions of the options program. Instead of copying the same option evaluation software-although the new Nirvana product has a few new twists-try a completely new tact. I would like to see-if it could be programmed-a scan of the universe of liquid options so that overpriced ones could be identified. This could be useful in either of two ways-first pricey options could be sold-after all they are over priced or the underlying could be simply bought. Bought my first option in 1980-have noticed that stocks often telegraph big moves with their traded options
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LSJ
 Legend
 Posts: 515
Joined: 8/17/2006
Location: Citrus Springs, FL
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A little after the fact here but I just noticed your post. Have you tried using OS? I scan using:
(ImpliedVolatility() / (ImpliedVolatility()+HistoricalVolatility()))*100 > 55.
You can change the number but I found 55 to my liking.
I also use DTOE and put and call OI to get qualified candidates.
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AlanD
 Member
 Posts: 35
Joined: 12/1/2006
Location: Waipio, Hawaii
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I saw the announcement for the Option Trader plus webinar event on 11 FEB. Is this a software package or training? I didn't see any other announcement.
Alan
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Buffalo Bill
 Legend
  Posts: 539
Joined: 10/3/2006
Location: Stafford, VA
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Larry
Is this IV-HV relationship good for Call buyers?
Attached file : Option OS.png (12KB - 243 downloads)
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LSJ
 Legend
 Posts: 515
Joined: 8/17/2006
Location: Citrus Springs, FL
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High IV pumps up the premium so if you are selling premium you are more likely to profit when IV subsides. Seems like everything is RTM.
I scan for option trades with this:
. The "55" is discretionary so can be played around with but I like what I get.
I also plot "ImpVol" and "HistVol" in the same panel to see the relationship. In the same chart I also use IndIVPercentile(250) to get a long look at IV.
I am trading almost all option trades now just selling premium and waiting for decay or expiration OTM.
There are statistical studies that show this process to have a high probability of profit.
I like trading like this now that I am an old geezer because I can take a couple days off and rely on defined risk or stops set on the underlying and the trades are usually 10 days+.
I really don't like buying options since it is a wasting asset. I did buy a few calls on real beat up stocks when the calls were cheap but that is the only way I buy premium.
I used to use another option platform but I am been working with Option Trader 6 and modifying some of the trade plans to get what I want. But yeh, if you are buying calls you would want to buy calls with low IV. I have seen trades in call buying that even though the buyer got the direction right they lost money on the trade becsue IV increased. (You know all about headwinds and tailwinds <:)
[Edited by LSJ on 2/8/2021 9:59 AM]
Attached file : IV.jpg (22KB - 448 downloads)
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Randy
 Regular
  Posts: 50
Joined: 12/6/2003
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Thanks for the nice omniscan Larry. I recently added IV to my focus list and was able to ramp up my monthly premium income generation a nice amount.
I use a spread to mitigate IV risk. Both options generally change at similar rates so you get to enjoy getting the direction right when IV goes against you.
Thanks,
Randy
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LSJ
 Legend
 Posts: 515
Joined: 8/17/2006
Location: Citrus Springs, FL
User Profile |
Yea, there just seems to something about spread trading that you don't have to be 100% right and you still get paid.
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